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	<title>Balafon &#187; Rants</title>
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	<link>http://balafon.net</link>
	<description>Shouting Into the Void</description>
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		<title>People are Idiots</title>
		<link>http://balafon.net/archives/1200</link>
		<comments>http://balafon.net/archives/1200#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Jun 2010 00:28:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Gordon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Canada]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rants]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://balafon.net/?p=1200</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A beluga calf at the Vancouver aquarium died last night because its airway was blocked with rocks and pennies!?!?!?!?!! What kind of fucking morons stand there and throw debris and spare change into a baby whale&#8217;s airway? Or let their kids do same? Ooh, let&#8217;s make a wish! How would you like a few loonies [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A beluga calf at the Vancouver aquarium died last night because its airway was blocked with <a href="http://www.cbc.ca/canada/british-columbia/story/2010/06/22/bc-beluga-nala-dies-vancouver-aquarium.html">rocks and <b><i>pennies</i></b></a>!?!?!?!?!!</p>
<p>What kind of fucking morons stand there and throw debris and spare change into a baby whale&#8217;s airway?  Or let their kids do same?  Ooh, let&#8217;s make a wish!</p>
<p>How would you like a few loonies shoved down your own throats, you retards?</p>
<p>I sincerely hope there&#8217;s some good security camera footage that will put them away for good and all.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Everybody Draw Mohammed Day</title>
		<link>http://balafon.net/archives/1183</link>
		<comments>http://balafon.net/archives/1183#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 20 May 2010 16:04:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Gordon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Rants]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[World]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Islam]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://balafon.net/?p=1183</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I am not interested in living in a world where people feel they are justified in killing others simply because they&#8217;re offended. Therefore, I am participating in Everybody Draw Mohammed Day. If you are offended by depictions of your prophet, I apologize, but I feel that the principle of freedom of religion is more important [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I am not interested in living in a world where people feel they are justified in killing others simply because they&#8217;re offended.  </p>
<p>Therefore, I am participating in Everybody Draw Mohammed Day.  If you are offended by depictions of your prophet, I apologize, but I feel that the principle of freedom of religion is more important than not offending you.  If you say that it&#8217;s only a few extremists who would want to kill people over this, then I say to you: clean your own house, then we&#8217;ll talk.  If you&#8217;ll stand up in your mosque tomorrow and condemn violence against blasphemers, then we&#8217;ll talk.</p>
<p>The picture below is a miniature illustration on vellum from the book Jami&#8217; al-Tawarikh (literally &#8220;Compendium of Chronicles&#8221; but often referred to as The Universal History or History of the World), by Rashid al-Din, published in Tabriz, Persia, 1307 A.D.  It depicts Mohammed supervising the rebuilding of the Kaaba.</p>
<p><a href="http://balafon.net/archives/1183/jami_al-tawarikh_stone_reduced" rel="attachment wp-att-1184"><img src="http://balafon.net/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/Jami_al-Tawarikh_stone_reduced-300x207.jpg" alt="" title="Jami_al-Tawarikh_stone_reduced" width="300" height="207" class="alignnone size-medium wp-image-1184" /></a></p>
<p>In other words, it&#8217;s an image of Mohammed drawn by a devout Muslim.  There are <a href="http://zombietime.com/mohammed_image_archive/islamic_mo_full/">many such images</a>.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Human Achievement Hour</title>
		<link>http://balafon.net/archives/1148</link>
		<comments>http://balafon.net/archives/1148#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 27 Mar 2010 00:19:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Gordon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Rants]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Space & Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[World]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[progressivism]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://balafon.net/?p=1148</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Since my lights are powered by nuclear fusion1, I will not be turning them off tomorrow night. Instead I will be turning on all that I can, in order to celebrate human ingenuity and technology. If you really care about the earth, why don&#8217;t you spend a month naked in the woods, without fire, which, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Since my lights are powered by nuclear fusion<sup class='footnote'><a href='#fn-1148-1' id='fnref-1148-1'>1</a></sup>, I will not be turning them off tomorrow night.</p>
<p>Instead I will be turning on all that I can, in order to <a href="http://cei.org/news-release/2010/03/19/force-darkness-%E2%80%9Cearth-hour%E2%80%9D-challenged-power-light-%E2%80%9Chuman-achievement-hour%E2%80%9D">celebrate human ingenuity and technology</a>.</p>
<p>If you <i>really</i> care about the earth, why don&#8217;t you spend a <i>month</i> naked in the woods, without fire, which, after all, produces carbon emissions!
<div class='footnotes'>
<div class='footnotedivider'></div>
<ol>
<li id='fn-1148-1'>The sun heats up the ocean, whence water vapor forms clouds, which precipitate rain onto the mountains, which runs into a turbine and powers my lights. <span class='footnotereverse'><a href='#fnref-1148-1'>&#8617;</a></span></li>
</ol>
</div>
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		<item>
		<title>&#8220;Deponent&#8221; is a Spurious Category</title>
		<link>http://balafon.net/archives/1126</link>
		<comments>http://balafon.net/archives/1126#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Feb 2010 17:50:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Gordon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Linguistics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rants]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[greek]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[language]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://balafon.net/?p=1126</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;ve seen a few posts lately regarding the &#8220;problem&#8221; of deponency and/or the middle voice in ancient Greek. One blogger even suggests that we use a different word than &#8220;middle&#8221;, which is a dumb idea, because &#8220;middle voice&#8221; is a term of art, with a specific meaning that has only a tenuous relationship to the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve seen a <a href="http://evepheso.wordpress.com/2010/02/10/quoting-robertson/">few</a> <a href="http://grklinguist.wordpress.com/2010/02/09/carl-conrads-understanding-ancient-greek-voice/">posts</a> lately regarding the &#8220;problem&#8221; of deponency and/or the middle voice in ancient Greek.  One blogger even <a href="http://grklinguist.wordpress.com/2010/02/10/renaming-the-greek-middle-voice/">suggests</a> that we use a different word than &#8220;middle&#8221;, which is a dumb idea, because &#8220;middle voice&#8221; is a term of art, with a specific meaning that has only a tenuous relationship to the ordinary use of the word.</p>
<p>To a linguist, this is all very bemusing.  Trying to build elaborate models and explanations to help English speakers wrap their minds around the idea that ancient Greek speakers used middle or passive constructions in contexts where English would use the active is just pandering to Anglo-centrism &#8212; all the models are attempting to explain Greek in terms of the writers&#8217; English-language categories.</p>
<p>Look, folks, news-flash: ancient Greek is NOT English!  The categories of ancient Greek are not those of English, and the ancient Greeks&#8217; reasons for using a particular voice in a particular situation may simply be quite different from those of modern-day English-speakers.</p>
<p>And they may indeed have not had reasons!  Far more of language is made up of arbitrary convention than most scholars of language would like to admit.  A search for &#8220;reasons&#8221; (or &#8220;deep structure&#8221;, cough cough) is often at best an exercise in historical linguistics.</p>
<p>It might have been better had Greek been further grammatically from English &#8212; it&#8217;s hard to shoehorn an <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ergative-absolutive_language">ergative-absolutive</a> system, for example, into English-speakers&#8217; conceptual framework &#8212; they just have to learn it on its own terms.</p>
<p>So in teaching ancient Greek it&#8217;s not a cop-out to say &#8220;that&#8217;s just how they did it&#8221;.  The idea of &#8220;deponency&#8221; is actually a barrier to thinking in ancient Greek, because it tries to keep the learner using English concepts, instead of forming Greek concepts!  I think sometimes language pedagogy goes overboard in trying to teach systems of rules.  Languages are in general messy, and the most useful and interesting parts of language are often exceptions to the rules.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m brushing up on my Attic Greek right now by going through <a href="http://www.cambridge.org/uk/catalogue/catalogue.asp?isbn=9780521698528">Reading Greek</a>, which I cannot recommend highly enough, but for my own amusement, I&#8217;m not bothering with making sure I&#8217;ve got all the paradigms, or even memorizing new vocabulary.  Of course, I did have the advantage of memorizing lots of paradigms back in school days, but I&#8217;m surprised at how much structure and vocab I&#8217;ve been picking up simply inductively.  It helps that the texts are interesting, colourful and thus memorable.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>There is No Soul</title>
		<link>http://balafon.net/archives/1091</link>
		<comments>http://balafon.net/archives/1091#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 10 Dec 2009 01:13:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Gordon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Linguistics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rants]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Space & Science]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://balafon.net/?p=1091</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Came across some fascinating stuff today in the area of cognitive science. The first bit is a mention of Daniel Dennett&#8217;s Consciousness Explained, in which he puts forward a trenchant argument against dualism: if the soul is to affect the body (i.e. when &#8220;I&#8221; want to move a part of my body), then it must [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Came across some fascinating stuff today in the area of cognitive science.</p>
<p>The first bit is a <a href="http://zompist.wordpress.com/2009/11/29/consciousness-explained/">mention</a> of Daniel Dennett&#8217;s <i>Consciousness Explained</i>, in which he puts forward a trenchant argument against dualism: if the soul is to affect the body (i.e. when &#8220;I&#8221; want to move a part of my body), then it must apply energy to the neurons to change their state.  Where does the energy come from?  We could put a person in a calorimeter and verify that the energy of heat that they put out is no greater than the energy of the food they consume.  A corollary I immediately thought of is: why does thinking (or praying, for that matter) consume a measurable amount of glucose from the blood?  Why should a &#8220;soulish&#8221; activity consume matter?</p>
<p>I have long maintained that whatever is meant by the Biblical terms (e.g. <i>psyche</i>) translated &#8220;soul&#8221;, it cannot consist of matter or energy, but must consist of <i>information</i>.  Dennett&#8217;s thought experiment is further support for this view.</p>
<p>The second fascinating item is an <a href="http://www.edge.org/3rd_culture/dehaene09/dehaene09_index.html">Edge talk</a> by <a href="http://www.unicog.org/main/pages.php?page=Stanislas_Dehaene">Stanislas Dehaene</a>.  His research on cognition and consciousness has progressed to the point where it is possible to <strong>determine from a real-time brain scan if and at which moment a person becomes consciously aware of a stimulus</strong>.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve recently been reading Sydney Lamb&#8217;s <a href="http://www.ruf.rice.edu/~lngbrain/main.htm">work in neurocognitive linguistics</a>; Dehaene&#8217;s <a href="http://www.unicog.org/biblio/Author/DEHAENE-S.html">work</a> seems to tie in nicely.</p>
<p>I shall be interested to read his papers on the cognition of number and compare with <a href="http://www.llc.ilstu.edu/dlevere/">Dan Everett</a>&#8216;s work with the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pirah%C3%A3_people">Pirahã</a>, whom he claims do not use numbers.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Smoking Gun</title>
		<link>http://balafon.net/archives/1080</link>
		<comments>http://balafon.net/archives/1080#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Nov 2009 17:53:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Gordon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[History]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rants]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Space & Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[World]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cru emails]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global warming]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://balafon.net/?p=1080</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[People with more time on their hands than me have been poring over the source code in the leaked CRU files. Here is a snippet of IDL code that produces a graph showing temperature data for the twentieth century (osborn-tree6/briffa_sep98_d.pro): ; ; Apply a VERY ARTIFICAL correction for decline!! ; yrloc=[1400,findgen(19)*5.+1904] valadj=[0.,0.,0.,0.,0.,-0.1,-0.25,-0.3,0.,-0.1,0.3,0.8, 1.2,1.7,2.5,2.6,2.6,2.6,2.6,2.6]*0.75 ; fudge [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>People with more <a href="http://esr.ibiblio.org/?p=1447">time on their hands</a> than me have been poring over the source code in the<a href="http://balafon.net/archives/1063"> leaked CRU files</a>.  Here is a snippet of <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IDL_%28programming_language%29">IDL</a> code that produces a graph showing temperature data for the twentieth century (osborn-tree6/briffa_sep98_d.pro):</p>
<p><code>;<br />
; Apply a VERY ARTIFICAL correction for decline!!<br />
;<br />
yrloc=[1400,findgen(19)*5.+1904]<br />
valadj=[0.,0.,0.,0.,0.,-0.1,-0.25,-0.3,0.,-0.1,0.3,0.8, 1.2,1.7,2.5,2.6,2.6,2.6,2.6,2.6]*0.75 ; fudge factor<br />
if n_elements(yrloc) ne n_elements(valadj) then message,’Oooops!’<br />
;<br />
yearlyadj=interpol(valadj,yrloc,timey)<br />
</code></p>
<p>That long string of numbers with some negative values in the middle and positive values at the end?  Those numbers are multiplied by the real temperatures to hide a warm period in the 1940s, and exaggerate the temperatures at the end of the century.</p>
<p><strong>This is scientific fraud, pure and simple.</strong></p>
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		<item>
		<title>Groupthink and the Fate of the World</title>
		<link>http://balafon.net/archives/1063</link>
		<comments>http://balafon.net/archives/1063#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Nov 2009 18:43:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Gordon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Rants]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Space & Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cru emails]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global warming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[groupthink]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://balafon.net/?p=1063</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[You may have noticed some strange news articles over the weekend, saying things like, &#8220;All that these emails prove is that climate researchers are in fact honest and diligent scientists, if a bit testy in private.&#8221; Honest, the Emperor does too have clothes! Now that it&#8217;s been more than 48 hours, I think I can [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You may have noticed some <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/21/science/earth/21climate.html?_r=3&#038;hp">strange</a> news <a href="http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/comment/columnists/guest_contributors/article6927598.ece">articles</a> over the weekend, saying things like, &#8220;All that these emails prove is that climate researchers are in fact honest and diligent scientists, if a bit testy in private.&#8221;</p>
<p>Honest, the Emperor <i>does too</i> have clothes!</p>
<p>Now that it&#8217;s been more than 48 hours, I think I can make some substantive comments.  Here&#8217;s the story:</p>
<p>Last week the following comment appeared on a blog post at the <a href="http://noconsensus.wordpress.com/2009/11/19/ok-its-blown-wide-open/">Air Vent</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>FOIA said<br />
November 17, 2009 at 9:57 pm e</p>
<p>We feel that climate science is, in the current situation, too important to be kept under wraps.</p>
<p>We hereby release a random selection of correspondence, code, and documents.<br />
Hopefully it will give some insight into the science and the people behind it.</p></blockquote>
<p>The comment was accompanied by a link to a zip file on an obscure server in Russia.  The zip file contained 157 megabytes of emails and documents that appeared to have been taken from the Climate Research Unit at the University of East Anglia, which just happens to be the major repository for climate research data for studying global warming.  The emails span a period of almost 15 years, from 1995 or so to the fall of 2009.</p>
<p>After several days it is apparent that the emails and files are genuine.  The CRU has admitted that someone stole their files, and has not denied their authenticity.  The story is ongoing at <a href="http://www.climateaudit.org/">Climate Audit</a> (and <a href="http://camirror.wordpress.com/">its alternative mirror site</a>), <a href="http://bishophill.squarespace.com/">Bishop Hill</a>, <a href="http://wattsupwiththat.com/">Watts Up with That</a>, <a href="http://rankexploits.com/musings/">The Blackboard</a>, and the aforementioned <a href="http://noconsensus.wordpress.com/">Air Vent</a>, among many others.</p>
<p>What the documents contain is telling.  They do not provide a perfect &#8220;smoking gun&#8221; &#8212; they don&#8217;t say &#8220;we made it all up&#8221; &#8212; but they do cast serious light on the science and politics behind the global warming movement.</p>
<p>Defenders at such bastions of academic freedom as Real Climate and Discover magazine are pooh-pooing the idea that lowly proles such as yourselves could ever interpret the subtle and exalted thoughts of real scientists, who are all shown to be as pure as the driven snow.</p>
<p>Questions of technical scientific interpretation aside, there are some demonstrably shady things going on:</p>
<ul>
<li>At the very least, they clearly reveal criminal conspiracy to <a href="http://www.anelegantchaos.org/cru/emails.php?eid=490&#038;filename=1107454306.txt">destroy or deny data</a> subject to Freedom of Information requests:<br />
<blockquote>If they ever hear there is a Freedom of Information Act now in the UK, I think I&#8217;ll delete the file rather than send to anyone. Does your similar act in the US force you to respond to enquiries within 20 days? &#8211; our does!</p></blockquote>
<p>Also see <a href="http://www.anelegantchaos.org/cru/emails.php?eid=891&#038;filename=1212063122.txt">1212063122.txt</a>, <a href="http://www.anelegantchaos.org/cru/emails.php?eid=485&#038;filename=1106338806.txt">1106338806.txt</a>, <a href="http://www.anelegantchaos.org/cru/emails.php?eid=940&#038;filename=1228330629.txt">1228330629.txt</a> and <a href="http://www.anelegantchaos.org/cru/emails.php?eid=914&#038;filename=1219239172.txt">1219239172.txt</a>.  This is criminal activity, plain and simple.</li>
<li>The emails also clearly reveal collusion to control the scientific peer review process, by rejecting articles critical of the global warming &#8220;team&#8221;, and then detracting from their critics by saying &#8220;<a href="http://www.anelegantchaos.org/cru/emails.php?eid=295&#038;filename=1047388489.txt">they&#8217;re not peer-reviewed</a>&#8220;:<br />
<blockquote>This was the danger of always criticising the skeptics for not publishing in the &#8220;peer-reviewed literature&#8221;. Obviously, they found a solution to that&#8211;take over a journal!  So what do we do about this? I think we have to stop considering &#8220;Climate Research&#8221; as a legitimate peer-reviewed journal. Perhaps we should encourage our colleagues in the climate research community to no longer submit to, or cite papers in, this journal.</p></blockquote>
<p> <a href="http://www.anelegantchaos.org/cru/emails.php?eid=307&#038;filename=1051190249.txt">1051190249.txt</a>:<br />
<blockquote>One approach is to go direct to the publishers and point out the fact that their journal is perceived as being a medium for disseminating misinformation under the guise of refereed work. I use the word &#8216;perceived&#8217; here, since <b>whether it is true or not is not what the publishers care about</b>.</p></blockquote>
<p> <a href="http://www.anelegantchaos.org/cru/emails.php?eid=419&#038;filename=1089318616.txt">1089318616.txt</a>:<br />
<blockquote>I can&#8217;t see either of these papers being in the next IPCC report. Kevin and I will keep them out somehow &#8211; <b>even if we have to redefine what the peer-review literature is</b>!</p></blockquote>
<p>This is nothing less than a subversion of science.  The whole point of science is that members of one particular school of thought should not be able to prohibit the publication of dissenting views.  Debate is the <i>essence</i> of science.</p>
<p>The emails are a classic example of what Thomas Kuhn calls &#8220;groupthink&#8221; in science: a tight-knight group who polices their members for <a href="http://www.anelegantchaos.org/cru/emails.php?eid=1062&#038;filename=1256735067.txt">political reliability</a>:<br />
<blockquote>Be a bit careful about what information you send to Andy and what emails you copy him in on. <b>He&#8217;s not as predictable as we&#8217;d like</b>.</p></blockquote>
</li>
<li>The &#8220;science&#8221; of global warming relies on complex computer models where the final output and predictions are the result of multiple layers of mathematical processing.  This processing relies on many variables that must be tuned to make the models reflect reality.  <a href="http://www.anelegantchaos.org/cru/emails.php?eid=112&#038;filename=926947295.txt">Except&#8230;</a><br />
<blockquote>I want to make one thing really clear. We ARE NOT supposed to be working with the assumption that these scenarios are realistic. They are scenarios-internally consistent (or so we thought) what-if storylines. <b>You are in fact out of line to assume that these are in some sense realistic</b>-this is in direct contradiction to the guidance on scenarios provided by the synthesis team.</p></blockquote>
<p>The dominant theme throughout the discussions of data processing (and the actual <a href="http://di2.nu/foia/HARRY_READ_ME-30.html">source code used</a>), is of manipulating the data to fit a pre-conceived <a href="http://www.anelegantchaos.org/cru/emails.php?eid=146&#038;filename=939154709.txt">idea</a>:<br />
<blockquote>I&#8217;ve just completed Mike&#8217;s Nature trick of adding in the real temps to each series for the last 20 years (ie from 1981 onwards) amd from 1961 for Keith&#8217;s to <b>hide the decline</b>.</p></blockquote>
<p>  This telling phrase has been explained as a mere slip of the tongue, but it is part of a <a href="http://www.anelegantchaos.org/cru/emails.php?eid=12&#038;filename=843161829.txt">bigger pattern</a>:<br />
<blockquote>I really wish I could be more positive about the Kyrgyzstan material, but I swear I pulled every trick out of my sleeve trying to milk something out of that &#8230; I don&#8217;t think it&#8217;d be productive to try and juggle the chronology statistics any more than I already have.</p></blockquote>
<p>  <a href="http://www.anelegantchaos.org/cru/emails.php?eid=1016&#038;filename=1254108338.txt">1254108338.txt</a>:<br />
<blockquote>So, if we could reduce the ocean blip by, say, 0.15 degC, then this would be significant for the global mean &#8212; but we&#8217;d still have to explain the land blip.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve chosen 0.15 here deliberately. This still leaves an ocean blip, and i think one needs to have some form of ocean blip to explain the land blip (via either some common forcing, or ocean forcing land, or vice versa, or all of these). When you look at other blips, the land blips are 1.5 to 2 times (roughly) the ocean blips &#8212; higher sensitivity plus thermal inertia effects. My 0.15 adjustment leaves things consistent with this, so you can see where I am coming from.</p></blockquote>
</li>
<li>These would be enough.  But the very worst thing about these emails, as far as I&#8217;m concerned, even more than the criminal activity and the perversion of science, is that &#8220;the team&#8221; is <b>NOT EVEN SURE THEY ARE RIGHT</b>.  They are pressuring global leaders to do irreperable harm to the economies of the world &#8212; which will devastate the developed world, and condemn the developing world to a century of abject poverty, all for something they are not certain about!  They are well aware of problems with the data and the <a href="http://www.anelegantchaos.org/cru/emails.php?eid=186&#038;filename=968705882.txt">process at the IPCC</a>:<br />
<blockquote>The fact is that in doing so the rules of IPCC have been softened to the point that in this way the <b>IPCC is not any more an assessment of published science (which is its proclaimed goal) but production of results</b>. &#8230; Essentially, I feel that at this point there are very little rules and almost anything goes. I think this will set a dangerous precedent which might mine the IPCC credibility, and I am a bit unconfortable that now nearly everybody seems to think that it is just ok to do this.</p></blockquote>
<p> <a href="http://www.anelegantchaos.org/cru/emails.php?eid=1048&#038;filename=1255352257.txt">1255352257.txt</a><br />
<blockquote>The fact is that <b>we can&#8217;t account for the lack of warming at the moment</b> and it is a travesty that we can&#8217;t. The CERES data published in the August BAMS 09 supplement on 2008 shows there should be even more warming: but the data are surely wrong. Our observing system is inadequate.</p></blockquote>
<p> <a href="http://www.anelegantchaos.org/cru/emails.php?eid=1067&#038;filename=1257546975.txt">1257546975.txt</a>:<br />
<blockquote>We probably need to say more about this. Land warming since 1980 has been twice the ocean warming &#8212; and skeptics might claim that this proves that urban warming is real and important.</p></blockquote>
<p> <a href="http://www.anelegantchaos.org/cru/emails.php?eid=1052&#038;filename=1255523796.txt">1255523796.txt</a>:<br />
<blockquote>How come you do not agree with a statement that says we are no where close to knowing where energy is going or whether clouds are changing to make the planet brighter. We are not close to balancing the energy budget. <b>The fact that we can not account for what is happening in the climate system makes any consideration of geoengineering quite hopeless as we will never be able to tell if it is successful or not!</b</p></blockquote>
<p> The <a href="http://www.anelegantchaos.org/cru/emails.php?eid=544&#038;filename=1120593115.txt">kicker</a> from Phil Jones:<br />
<blockquote>I would like to see the climate change happen, so the science could be proved right, <b>regardless of the consequences</b>.</p></blockquote>
<p><b>He would rather see the death and destruction he&#8217;s been predicting come true than for him to have made a mistake</b>.</li>
</ul>
<p>So if the core group of climate change scientists:</p>
<ul>
<li>Is unsure about the actual data.</li>
<li>Is controlling the literature to make sure only the right voices are heard.</li>
<li>Is committing criminal acts in not releasing their data.</li>
</ul>
<p>Are they really justified in demanding multi-trillion-dollar economic programs that could otherwise go to feeding the poor (hopelessly naive, I know)?</p>
<p>Even worse: as Christopher Monckton says, Copenhagen is <a href="http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/viscount-monckton-on-global-warminggate-they-are-criminals-pjm-exclusive/">nothing more than a power grab</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>These climate “scientists” on whose unsupported word the world’s <i>classe politique</i> proposes to set up an unelected global government this December in Copenhagen, with vast and unprecedented powers to control all formerly free markets, to tax wealthy nations and all of their financial transactions, to regulate the economic and environmental affairs of all nations, and to confiscate and extinguish all patent and intellectual property rights.</p></blockquote>
<p>I hope that the world leaders in Copenhagen will be able to smell the rat.  But if ultimate power is involved, I fear not.</p>
<p>UPDATE: an excellent article at the <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704888404574547730924988354.html#%20articleTabs%3Darticle">Wall Street Journal</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>We do now have hundreds of emails that give every appearance of testifying to concerted and coordinated efforts by leading climatologists to fit the data to their conclusions while attempting to silence and discredit their critics. In the department of inconvenient truths, this one surely deserves a closer look by the media, the U.S. Congress and other investigative bodies.</p></blockquote>
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		<title>Learning in a Vacuum</title>
		<link>http://balafon.net/archives/1055</link>
		<comments>http://balafon.net/archives/1055#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Nov 2009 17:55:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Gordon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Rants]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[education]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://balafon.net/?p=1055</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Turns out that actually teaching kids things in school makes them better at reading, writing, and participating in modern society. Who knew? Hirsch conducted an experiment on reading comprehension, using two groups of college students. Members of the first group possessed broad background knowledge in subjects like history, geography, civics, the arts, and basic science; [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Turns out that <a href="http://www.city-journal.org/2009/19_4_hirsch.html">actually teaching kids things in school</a> makes them better at reading, writing, and participating in modern society.  Who knew?</p>
<blockquote><p>Hirsch conducted an experiment on reading comprehension, using two groups of college students. Members of the first group possessed broad background knowledge in subjects like history, geography, civics, the arts, and basic science; members of the second, often from disadvantaged homes, lacked such knowledge. The knowledgeable students, it turned out, could far more easily comprehend and analyze difficult college-level texts (both fiction and nonfiction) than their poorly informed brethren could.</p>
<p>Hirsch’s theories, long merely persuasive, now have solid empirical backing in Massachusetts’s miraculous educational reforms. Before the state passed its reform legislation, school districts employed a hodgepodge of instructional approaches, had no standard curriculum, and neglected academic content. But one element of the 1993 Education Reform Act was Hirschean knowledge-based curricula for each grade. The history and social-science curriculum, for instance, makes clear that students should be taught explicitly about their rich heritage, rather than taught how to learn about that heritage.</p></blockquote>
<p>The idea of teaching &#8220;critical thinking&#8221; in a vacuum is absurd.  You need to know about the qualities of things you are thinking about in order to think critically about them!</p>
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		<title>Step Away from the Category</title>
		<link>http://balafon.net/archives/1053</link>
		<comments>http://balafon.net/archives/1053#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Nov 2009 05:50:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Gordon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Rants]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[logic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[philosophy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Theology]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://balafon.net/?p=1053</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I recently stumbled across an interesting blog dedicated to the union of the Christian Church, an admirable goal. But being always on the lookout for sloppy logic, I noticed one article in which the author attempts to show that: Within Protestantism there is not some one additional entity to which the term “visible catholic Church” [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I recently stumbled across an <a href="http://principiumunitatis.blogspot.com/">interesting blog</a> dedicated to the union of the Christian Church, an admirable goal.  But being always on the lookout for sloppy logic, I noticed <a href="http://principiumunitatis.blogspot.com/2009/09/why-protestantism-has-no-visible.html">one article</a> in which the author attempts to show that:</p>
<blockquote><p>Within Protestantism there is not some one additional entity to which the term “visible catholic Church” refers, consisting of these denominations, congregations, believers and their children.</p></blockquote>
<p>As opposed to the one entity which is the Roman Catholic Church, of course.</p>
<p>Unfortunately, the only thing the author shows is that <b>philosophy students should be forced, at gunpoint if necessary, to take a formal course in logic before they graduate</b>.</p>
<p>His argument is as follows:</p>
<blockquote><p>This was the error of assuming that unity of type is sufficient for unity of composition. In actuality, things of the same type do not by that very fact compose a unified whole.</p></blockquote>
<p>At first glance this might suffice for a Platonist, but consider this: who gets to decide which collections of things of the same type get their own unified whole, and which don&#8217;t?</p>
<p>If the Westminster Confession defines the &#8220;visible catholic Church&#8221; as the unity of Protestant Christians, then who is the author to claim that that entity does not exist, whilst the entity known as the Roman Catholic Church does?</p>
<p>I assume that the author would assert that the doctrines of the Roman Catholic church hold more authority than the Westminster Confession.  <i>But this is not an argument, it is an axiom</i>: he has not &#8220;shown&#8221; anything, but simply <i>restated his underlying assumption</i>.</p>
<p>I can, in fact, refute his argument by construction.</p>
<p>Consider the set <i>C</i>, defined as the set of persons adhering to a Christian tradition descended from those developed in the Protestant Reformation.</p>
<p>If mathematics has any access at all to the world of Platonic ideals, then I have just shown that there exists, both in our world and in the ideal world, an entity, <i>C</i>, which is identical to the &#8220;visible catholic Church&#8221; as defined in the Westminster Confession.</p>
<p>Quod Erat Demonstrandum</p>
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		<title>Why We Vaccinate Redux</title>
		<link>http://balafon.net/archives/1048</link>
		<comments>http://balafon.net/archives/1048#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Oct 2009 16:18:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Gordon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Rants]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Space & Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[anti-vaccination]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Emily]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vaccination]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://balafon.net/?p=1048</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The latest Wired has a great article on vaccination (emphasis mine). There is no credible evidence to indicate that any of this [vaccines harm America’s children] is true. None. Twelve epidemiological studies have found no data that links the MMR (measles/mumps/rubella) vaccine to autism; six studies have found no trace of an association between thimerosal [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The latest Wired has a <a href="http://www.wired.com/magazine/2009/10/ff_waronscience/all/1">great article on vaccination</a> (emphasis mine).</p>
<blockquote><p><i>There is no credible evidence</i> to indicate that any of this [vaccines harm America’s children] is true. None. Twelve epidemiological studies have found no data that links the MMR (measles/mumps/rubella) vaccine to autism; six studies have found no trace of an association between thimerosal (a preservative containing ethylmercury that has largely been removed from vaccines since 20011) and autism, and three other studies have found no indication that thimerosal causes even subtle neurological problems. The so-called epidemic, researchers assert, is the result of improved diagnosis, which has identified as autistic many kids who once might have been labeled mentally retarded or just plain slow. In fact, the growing body of science indicates that the autistic spectrum — which may well turn out to encompass several discrete conditions — may largely be genetic in origin. In April, the journal Nature published two studies that analyzed the genes of almost 10,000 people and identified a common genetic variant present in approximately 65 percent of autistic children.</p></blockquote>
<p>I am proud to say that Emily had another round of vaccinations the other day.  Her risk of dying from <a href="http://balafon.net/archives/753">a host of fatal childhood diseases</a> has gone down significantly.<sup class='footnote'><a href='#fn-1048-1' id='fnref-1048-1'>1</a></sup>  Her risk of developing autism has increased by an amount so small it would take a scanning electron microsocope to detect.</p>
<p>We evaluate risks every day.  There is a small but non-zero chance that I will be run over by a truck while biking to work.  Should I then refuse to get out of bed?</p>
<p>My extremely fetching orange and yellow reflective vest is made of plastic, which is flammable, and might melt itself into my skin if it catches on fire.  Is the risk of my vest catching on fire (perhaps from static electricity generated by rubbing against my jacket) greater than the risk of a truck driver not seeing me on a dark rainy evening if I don&#8217;t wear it?</p>
<p>Sounds crazy, but that&#8217;s how anti-vaxxers sound to me.  Is the infinitesimal (<a href="http://balafon.net/archives/753">and in fact made up out of whole cloth</a>) risk of autism greater than the risk of brain damage or death from rubella or measles, or pertussis?
<div class='footnotes'>
<div class='footnotedivider'></div>
<ol>
<li id='fn-1048-1'>However, if enough people in her community refuse to vaccinate their children, her risk of dying from an infectious disease actually goes up.  The more people in a community who are vaccinated against an infectious disease, the less chance the infection has to spread.  Not rocket science, people. <span class='footnotereverse'><a href='#fnref-1048-1'>&#8617;</a></span></li>
</ol>
</div>
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